Free Coach Norrie Comrades Pacing Charts – and How to use them!
Profile is read from right to left: This gives the km to go distances (as pacing band does)
First Things First – SET A TIME!!
The first step in planning your assault on Comrades is to determine a realistic target finishing time”
This is done by comparing your best performances over distances from a mile to the marathon and from the table you can predict relatively accurately what time you can realistically do in comrades this time using your best 10k and marathon time in the last 9 months.
(its too late to do a mile test now so this table uses 10k and marathon)
NOTE: that this year in a great move by Comrades Marathon Association there are two new medals: New Medals mean New Motivations…
- The Isavel Roch-Kelly which will honour those women who finish in under the Silver cut off of 7 hours 30 minutes but fail to get Gold (top 10),
- The Robert Mtshali who in 1935 was the first recorded mention of an African of colour who finished the race. This is presented to those finishing between 9 hours and 10 hours.
ALL MEDAL AND CUT OFF TIMES ARE BASED ON START GUN TO FINISH LINE with no allowance for time taken to cross the mat.
[St James Road bridge from the down side – this year on other side before arriving Westville Centre]
What does the Realistic time mean? Is Realistic Time important?
For those few runners going for a Top Ten medal or a top 3 age group, or one of the team awards, the realistic time is important but for the majority of runners the realistic time is something that purely gives you a time that you should not go faster than.
In general the idea would be to drop back in your target time to about 5 -15 minutes below the next medal cut off.
Winston Park Caltex garage – approx 30k done – 57k to go
For instance: if your marathon time is 3:50 then your realistic Comrades time is around 9:20. This is too far away from 9 hours to be able to get to a Bill Rowan but you should be safe to earn the new Robert Mtshali – the Bob? For s sub 10 hours.
There is no point in spending the day ‘red lining’ and trying to run at your limit, keeping on pace and on the knife edge of your ability for the 9:20. Rather drop back and target a 09:50 which will give you the same Robert Mtshali medal, but allows you more tolerance in your pacing and to enjoy the day.
Once you are on that ‘Nameless hill’ up to the chicken farms just outside Camperdown and at the dreaded 40 mile (64km) into the race you can assess how you are feeling and then decide if you want to pick up the pace, maintain pace, or even make use of the 10 minute safety margin you have for the final 23km of the race as you have just under half a minute per km in hand and it is significantly downhill for around 12k the remaining distance.
Sometimes Realistic is critical!
On the other hand there are probably another 1000 runners for whom their realistic time comes about 5 -8 minutes slower than a new medal category.. in other words if they can beat their realistic predicted time by 5-10 minutes they would move from say a 9:05 to an 8:59 finish and this would make the difference of a Bill Rowan or a Robert Mtshali medal.
[Half way with brick marker – Drummond Mats – Mathematical half way is further ahead]
In such a case and assuming good weather on the day, it is worth working towards this better time: BUT – I REPEAT, BUT: these performances are NOT earned in the first 2 /3 or the race, they are earned in the final third and the real keys are:
- Being behind the goal time in the beginning – In particular the section from City Hall to Tollgate and 45th
- Making sure you get to Cato Ridge underpass slight slow and with the feeling that you have been holding back and have energy
- Gradually increasing the effort (not pace as pace means nothing as there is no flat in comrades until the Scottsville race track) over the section to highest point, then the second assessment of condition
- From Highest point you make your decision on whether there is still a chance of improving.
- The final assessment will come at Polly Shorts as it is also important that you don’t increase too much on the downhill to ‘Tumble Inn’ (used to be known as the water jump as the first few years where was no bridge at this point only a ford for cars to cross)
How to use the pace bands:
From day 1, 24 May 1921, the Comrades was known as a ‘Go as you Please’ event, and there were no formal seconding. Runners ran from hotel or pub or store to the next point of assistance along the route.
There were no mile or km markers it was all about the distribution of energy for a certain section of the route and then stopping for fluid and food at those landmarks along the route.
[The underpass at Cato Ridge – another cut off point – just under 30k remains]
It was only in the 1970’s that km marks were brought to the race and in the first year it was at 5km intervals BUT for ONLY the last 25 km.
There were no GPS or watches that would give indication of pace – instead it was done on ‘Feel” or effort. The basic concept of ultra running on a hilly course remains the same and it is vital that runners learn the feel of what they can do. Hence the go as you please:
While Wally Hayward was the first man to break 6 hours on the down run, he would not be running 4 minutes per km for 90km:
Instead he wold be running at the same effort as 4 minutes per km on the flat on the uphill and on the downhill. This would mean there would be hills where he was running 5 minutes per km, and downhills where he would be running 3:30 per km: The pace changes but the effort was consistent.
The format of the bands this year focuses on the different medal cut off times and provide the pacing for the time 30 minutes faster than the target and also the pacing for the time 30 minutes slower than target time.
This, particularly early on, gives a great means of assessing your pace and preventing you from ruining your race by going out too fast.
Note for instance: that there is only 1 minute 40 seconds difference in the time that an 08:30 finisher and a 09:00 hour finisher needs to arrive at Tollgate BUT being that 100 seconds too fast implies that you are capable of a 30-minute faster finish time.
Put another way: If you start off and, because it feels such a slow pace, you arrive at Tollgate a mere 100 seconds too fast, it is the equivalent of saying that your personal best is not 3:43 Marathon, but rather a 3:30 marathon. Or that instead of only being capable of a 47-minute 10k, you are capable of a 44 minute 20 seconds 10km.
From this it is very easy to see how critical it is for you to ensure you are not too fast early on – HOWEVER the point is that over this early 4k and 8km distances it is just so very easy to be running too fast and to arrive at Tollgate 100 seconds too fast.. If you do your race is basically over! – not in the first 50k or 60k but by 65km and the final 25 will be slow and painful.
[Lion Park N3 Bridge – approx 15k to go – the next 3k are down – protect quads but this is where its your day … or its NOT!]
In using the pacing bands use the one band to target the time, and use the faster and slower time bands to make sure you are definitely not going too fast and the slower time as a means of keeping you just inside the target.
Comrades forces back runners to race harder than the winners!
This post has been delayed as it was ‘rumoured’ that the race organisers were accepting advice to change the intermediate cut off times which are too tight to let any 12 hour runner complete the race in a ‘normal’ pacing approach:
Unfortunately, this has not happened and ALL runners who logically could finish between 11:30 to 12:00 are affected by these unreasonable cut off times, particularly at St Johns Road, Winston Park, Half way and Cato Ridge:
NOTE: The above table are the cut-off’s dictated by the Race Organiser as listed in the final instructions mailed on 2 June 2019. Compare to pacing charts for 11:00, 11:30 and 12 hours to appreciate the insanity / unfairness of these intermediate cuts IF the race is, as it was intended by Vic Clapham, about the runners.
But it gets worse:
The above comment is made on ‘normal’ pacing assuming a runner is able to run ‘freely’ as they would wish from standing on the start line when the start gun is fired: This of course, is NOT the case
Two aspects exacerbate the situation:
- The back block of runners at the start can take 8-11 minutes to cross the start line, and this time whittles their effective comrades cut off to 11:49 to 11:52 to complete the same distance
- The fact that massive runners’ buses block the road preventing runners from being able to move as they wish. Depending on how runners accept or try to run through these buses this is estimated to slow the progress by a further 3 to 8 minutes
In short the RACE ORGANISERS have made it considerably more difficult for any runner who would logically targets an 11:30 finish, and in fact puts in FOUR major hurdles, that require the runner to run illogically faster over the course – from the very beginning of the race!
In effect these runners are forced: not by the history, not by the intent of the race founder, not by tradition, but by the race organiser’s ridiculous adoption of intermediate times, and lack of appreciation of the running situation to run with a positive split – They are FORCED to Run faster to half way then slow in the second half!
- This is totally against the methods used by the winners and successful finishers
- Contradicts simple basic Common Sense looking at the profile: The first 35km is uphill the last 21k is downhill
THE ONLY POSSIBLE SAVING GRACE IS THAT A NOTE SAYS THESE CAN BE CHANGED:
But if that is to happen only on race day then it is useless because the runners have already sped off from the start too fast and as we know this will then catch the runners up at Umlaas Road and Polly shorts
This is what the 2019 runners have to live with it for the UP run so the following is the advice on how to use the charts to get around these unreasonable cut off times.
2017 FIGURES CONFIRM HOW RIDICULOUS THE 2019 CUT OFFS ARE!
The following table confirms the above observations based on the the 2017 up run- but remember the entries then were 4000 less, and ANY extra numbers on the Comrades route are now making things worse with each additional runner.
Quite simply the Road is the same width as it was in the 1980’s but the numbers have jumped from 10,000 to 25,000 entries!!! – no wonder progression is slower.
These figures clearly highlight key points:
- It took 12 minutes 53 seconds for the last runner to cross the start line (he effectively had only 2 hour 7 minutes to reach Pinetown IF the cut was applied at 2 hours 40 minutes!)
- The last “accepted” runner went through Pinetown 2 hour 45 minutes 56 seconds (so almost 6 minutes after they said they would close) and only 28 runners were ‘culled’ – BUT:
- How many more would have been taken out in the 6 minutes they clearly felt they could NOT apply the cut off
- WHY? (oh why?) have the organisers kept the same time when it clearly did NOT work in 2017? (is that not the definition of “insanity” – doing the same thing and expecting a different answer?
- At Winston park another 155 runners were taken out of the race – and AGAIN the cut off was only applied 4 minutes after announced – Why repeat when 2017 did not work?
- Another 430 were taken out at half way – and AGAIN the cut off was almost 14 minutes after the stated time ! How many more if the 6:10 had been applied ?
- 858 more were taken off by the Cato Ridge Cut Off – and the cut off was extended by 8 minutes 30 seconds – so AGAIN they proved their stated time was INCORRECT..
- 625 were taken out at Umlaas road and that is after the cut off point is extended by a MASSIVE 19 minutes….
- 575 failed to make the Polly Shortts cut off and again the mat was left open 20 minutes longer than announced
- This resulted in ONLY – 13852 finishers – with 3179 runners in total who started in Durban not crossing the line in Scottsville..
Allowing for runners who for other reasons may not have been able to make it along the route (1136 are listed as DNF) then it is around 2000 runners that have been taken out by the intermediate cut off points!!!!
Is there no learning points for the Race Organisers in the 2017 figures?
- Every mat cut off time was extended – So clearly the proposed mat times DO NOT WORK AND UNFAIRLY FORCE RUNNERS TO RUN FASTER THAN THEY SHOULD
- This means the ORGANISERS are PREVENTING, (or at kindest making it extremely difficult), runners who had PAID and QUALIFIED for the race to finish..
- CMA have this data, have requests and submissions to change these times, but put out the same time for the 2019 UP run.
Why? Why? Why?…… is it that they cant see the problem? is it that they ‘cant be wrong’ that their pride comes before the good of the runner?
It is ABSOLUTELY USELESS extending the cut off times on the day — by the time the runner has reached the first cut off which he targeted on the stated time, he has blown the pacing and is already over-extended!!!
Unfortunately for around 2000 (and more this year) who have worked and deserve to finish their comrades medal will be deprived (yet again) by the stubborn attitudes of Comrades Marathon organisers.
As a coach I can only advise on how best to try to work around this insanity.
Vic Clapham will be turning –no spinning! – in his grave with this attitude !!!!
THE HOW FOR 11:30 -12:00 FINISHERS — Doing your best!
As indicated above, and emphasised here, those runners targeting finishes in less than 11 hours 30 minutes should NOT try to make up the time taken to cross the start line in the first 35km. This puts too much effort in the hills which will result is an inability to run well in the last part of the race from Umlaas Road to the finish.
However, those targeting the 11:30 to 12 hour cut off, have NO OPTION but to make up the 8-11 minutes that it will take to cross the start line, and need to be running faster than the given pace to reach The St John Road Underpass cut off in 2 hours 40 minutes.
The FACT is that to reach this point in 2 hours 40 minutes, assuming you are ON THE START LINE requires you to run at the 11:30 pacing plan. BUT you are NOT on the start line and more probably 8 minutes behind the gun.
The FACT ….. 12 hour runners need to run the first 30km as though they are 11 hour runners!
So a 12 hour runner, needs to follow the 11 Hours schedule through to Pinetown, then continue on that schedule until the Caltex Garage at Winston Park!
Yes, it’s truly that bad, the organisers (in their wisdom?) are forcing 12 hour runners to run on a race schedule that is 1 hour faster than the runners ability!!
In Marathon terms, Race Organisers, are demanding that 4:50 marathon runners, start the first 30km of Comrades as though they are 4:30 marathon runners….. This is why it is ridiculous and no other race organisation in the World would allow, expect, or condone such an approach!!!
From there you can back off a bit to drop to a pace that is roughly a 11:30 schedule and slow even more to make the 8 hours 10 minutes at Cato Ridge.
Taking this approach is fine, Except, somewhere between Cato Ridge and Umlaas Road that early sprint up Tollgate, up 45th, and up the long slow poison to Westville and Cowies Hill is going to catch you up, and then it’s a walk run battle to make top of Polly’s and onto Scottsville!
Unfortunately you have NO OPTION, but to adopt this tactic, and in those last 20km I am sure runners can mull over the words they wish to share with the race organisers for their over-ambitious cut off in Pinetown.
[The ‘other’ side of Half way with Inchanga (the spear) ahead – it may be down through Drummond but its a steep long climb up Inchanga – conserve]
THE PACING BANDS FOR THE MEDAL CUT OFFS
Silver Medal: Sub 7 hours 30 minutes
Bill Rowan Medal: Sub 9 Hours:
Robert Mtshali – sub 10 hours:
Vic Clapham Medal: